Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.125515 1.396221 1.694493 2.044558 2.441205 2.873865 3.378636
2025-05-25 0.748002 1.098963 1.527761 2.076709 2.747494 3.527918 4.491743
2025-06-01 0.547029 0.946456 1.482985 2.222227 3.181086 4.351686 5.857148
2025-06-08 0.374515 0.776288 1.372248 2.254026 3.461884 4.999707 7.045928
2025-06-15 0.284323 0.696056 1.361954 2.405955 3.897522 5.856713 8.528364
2025-06-22 0.207350 0.608879 1.319004 2.496656 4.246194 6.609547 9.902481
2025-06-29 0.144733 0.521568 1.254135 2.538588 4.518986 7.264302 11.164590
2025-07-06 0.090995 0.424166 1.147423 2.494841 4.654366 7.727513 12.178713
2025-07-13 0.060507 0.364466 1.094512 2.527017 4.897137 8.341457 13.406544
2025-07-20 0.038550 0.311730 1.041324 2.547995 5.117279 8.924403 14.601165
2025-07-27 0.020570 0.250993 0.953220 2.491914 5.205799 9.313448 15.530164
2025-08-03 0.009786 0.201071 0.873722 2.438100 5.288631 9.690316 16.444733
2025-08-10 0.004614 0.169747 0.832952 2.456982 5.497699 10.270423 17.676176
2025-08-17 0.001302 0.132276 0.760340 2.400112 5.571815 10.646445 18.622723
2025-08-24 0.000535 0.121842 0.766698 2.510592 5.942564 11.488894 20.264845
2025-08-31 0.000063 0.100854 0.729174 2.519000 6.130118 12.049413 21.503555
2025-09-07 0.000010 0.097194 0.753044 2.668609 6.578885 13.030938 23.380500
2025-09-14 NaN 0.087924 0.751628 2.758341 6.920278 13.848748 25.026796
2025-09-21 NaN 0.075443 0.731044 2.799214 7.171176 14.526229 26.473369
2025-09-28 NaN 0.058053 0.677182 2.750354 7.248385 14.923252 27.503175
2025-10-05 NaN 0.048902 0.657169 2.783654 7.482344 15.578337 28.931086
2025-10-12 NaN 0.040420 0.634237 2.805490 7.692962 16.197312 30.310592
2025-10-19 NaN 0.029411 0.583960 2.745276 7.736714 16.538858 31.268868